熱血背包客莊ㄟ

Computers cannot accurately predict climate change unless the mathematical equations fed into them adequately capture the natural meteorological processes they are intended to simulate. Moreover, there are processes that influence climate, such as modifications in land use, that scientists do not know how to simulate. The failure to incorporate such a process into a computer climate model can lead the model astray because a small initial effect can initiate a feedback cycle: a perturbation in one variable modifies a second variable, which in turn amplifies the original disturbance. An increase in temperature, for example, can boost the moisture content of the atmosphere, which then causes further warming because water vapor is a greenhouse gas.

1.The passage mentions which of the following as adversely affecting the accuracy of computer predictions of climate change? 

1. Failure to allow for some of the processes that influence climate
2. Mathematical equations that do not accurately reflect natural phenomena
3. An overestimate of the role of feedback cycles

2.In the context in which it appears, “amplifies” most nearly means 

1. exacerbates
2. explicates
3. expatiates
4. adds detail to
5. makes louder

文章結構：

Computers cannot accurately predict climate change unless the mathematical equations fed into them adequately capture the natural meteorological processes they are intended to simulate.看到這邊先點出主角是誰Computers，電腦不可以精準預測氣候變遷，看到這邊叫先停止往下一句看了，因為unless這個字只是要進一步說明他在某個情況下是可以精準量測，但是剛開始讀是抓邏輯，沒必要去做延伸，有考到我們再看unless在講殺小

Moreover, there are processes that influence climate, such as modifications in land use, that scientists do not know how to simulate. 這個Moreover表示遞進關係，所以還是言這上一層主邏輯延續，因此推測出『電腦不可以精準預測氣候』一定是要講個這類有關的邏輯，所以內容也不用看了，繼續往下

The failure to incorporate such a process into a computer climate model can lead the model astray because a small initial effect can initiate a feedback cycle: a perturbation in one variable modifies a second variable, which in turn amplifies the original disturbance. The failure這裡出現一個指示代名詞the表示有用到這個字一定是前面有提過了，假設我還沒看the failure前面的任何內容而只有在看過第一句話的情況下，所以可以大膽假設這個失敗＝『電腦不可以精準預測氣候』，好的接著

An increase in temperature, for example, can boost the moisture content of the atmosphere, which then causes further warming because water vapor is a greenhouse gas.舉例了，那就不用說了，會說舉例一定是支持上面那句話，你一定會說金城武很帥，例如我看到他在伯朗大道上面騎腳踏車，搭配那徐徐微風迎風吹向金城武，這般景象帥啊！！，我們換個場景，
金城武很帥，例如說它騎腳踏車『犁田』摔車，這樣變『摔啊』，不可能這樣解釋吧。所以拉回來整個句子是個大順子，從頭到尾都在說：電腦不可以精準預測氣候，因此真正要看的只有反紅的字而已

第一題：

題目看到as adversely affecting the accuracy，這表示找一下讓他不準的原因，首先剛剛那個unless就派上用場了，表示某種條件下是可行的，也就是把unless那句話看完取『反』，對應答案即可the mathematical equations fed into them adequately capture the natural meteorological processes they are intended to simulate

再來Moreover，後面there are processes that influence climate, such as modifications in land use, that scientists do not know how to simulate，主幹為『影響氣候的過程』，然後抓細節，這個過程是scientists do not know科學家不知道如何模擬，跟答案（Ａ）一模一樣，failure=do not know / processes that influence climateru 完全沒改單字，所以答案（Ａ），（Ｂ）

（Ｃ）講反了，但是根據語法這個選項不能選，因為feedback是在becasue的子句裡面，但是題目問題是affecting，屬於結果類型，所以這個因果關係不同調就直接放掉了。

第二題：

選（Ａ）

加重，惡化(V.) exacerbate / exasperate / deteriorate / worsen / aggravate  

詳細解說(V.) construe / elucidate / expound / illuminate / explicates / expatiates 

Ｂ和Ｃ一樣意思，加點細節，和大聲點都怪怪的

以上個人筆記希望有幫助到大家，有誤再請指教!!